Projected voting on Iranian sanctions by the UNSC

Projected voting for sanctions on Iran if referred to the UN Security Council.

United Republic of Tanzania: Tanzania will most likely be enticed by US/EU3 proposals and future cooperation agreements. Vote Yes on Sanctions.

United States: After a number of years trying to get Iran to the UNSC, it finally appears that sanctions will be imposed. Vote Yes on Sanctions.

Argentina: Argentina is a wild-card with leader leaning more and more to the left and anti-US rhetoric gaining speed throughout South America, however, its very unlikely Kirshner will go against the flow and allow Iran to continue defying an international coalition. Vote yes on sanctions.

China: With numerous economic agreements including energy and defense contracts, China is unlikey to be happy with sanctions, however, its also highly unlikely it will use its veto to stop any resolution that passes over Iran's nuclear program. Most likely will abstain from voting on sanctions.

Congo: Congo with its large foreign assistance coming from the US and EU will likely follow suit and vote likewise. Vote yes on sanctions.

Denmark: With a furor over cartoons erupting in the Arab world, some analysts within Denmark could convince the government to abstain from voting however it seems unlikely it would do so. Vote yes on sanctions.

France: The French have been vocal indeed on international cooperation instead of unilateral actions in deal with conflicts. This situation would give credit to that line of talk. France along with the UK and Germany have been instrumental in dealing with this conflict and will continue to do so voting for sanctions. Vote yes on sanctions.

Greece: Greece has traditionally been neutral in affairs between Arabs and the west and most likely will keep that line. It also recieves slight pressure from Russia with energy contracts and the fact that it sees the Russians as brethren in religion. Vote to abstain on sanctions.

Japan: Japan has seen its regional superiority diminish in the Chinese shadow recently and could use sanctions on Iran as a move to hurt China's economic ties to the middle east. It is also a key ally with the US and would not endanger relations. Vote yes on sanctions.

Russian Federation: Huge economic contracts are at stake with the UNSC and Iran for Russia. With defense and nuclear contracts with the Iranian regime running into the tens of billions, Russia is very reluctant to impose sanctions on Iran. But with Iran defying even Russian offers for nuclear enrichment, it has no choice than to withhold its veto in the UNSC. This does not mean that its foreign ministry along with China will not be on overdrive trying to convince others on the UNSC to vote against sanctions. Vote to abstain most likely.

Slovakia: Slovakia looking to further integrate with the EU will sure vote in favor of sanctions as the Iranian regime further insults international agreements that Europe holds on a pedestal. Vote yes on sanctions.

United Kingdom: The UK has been very vocal on Iran cooperating with the IAEA and UN and will surely vote for sanctions. Vote yes on sanctions.

Ghana: Ghana with increased economic ties to Arab and Chinese partners, it might be the only country to vote against sanctions knowing that it will not influence the vote in the end result. Vote against sanctions.

Peru: Peru is an interesting wildcard. With an increased anti-US trend in South America, neighboring countries could step in and try to convince Peru to vote against sanctions(ie: Venezuela). The US recently has stepped up its diplomatic affairs and talk of a US military base within Peru has been floating around. Its highly unlikely Peru would vote against the US and risk losing incentives in the future. Vote yes on sanctions

Qatar: Even the GCC has been trying to convince Iran to cooperate with the IAEA and show it has a peaceful program. With enegry a main source of income for the country, it could benefit from higher oil and gas prices. US presence in Qatar is another variable that will push Qatar to vote for sanctions. Vote yes on sanctions.



Each Council member has one vote. Decisions on procedural matters are made by an affirmative vote of at least nine of the 15 members. Decisions on substantive matters require nine votes, including the concurring votes of all five permanent members. This is the rule of "great Power unanimity", often referred to as the "veto" power.

Under the Charter, all Members of the United Nations agree to accept and carry out the decisions of the Security Council. While other organs of the United Nations make recommendations to Governments, the Council alone has the power to take decisions which Member States are obligated under the Charter to carry out.